perm filename R1500.2[ESS,JMC]1 blob
sn#098542 filedate 1974-04-23 generic text, type T, neo UTF8
00100 If you drive into the parking lot of the Stanford Artificial
00200 Intelligence Laboratory, you will see a sign that says \F2CAUTION, ROBOT
00300 VEHICLE\F0. People react to this sign in various ways: some with hope,
00400 some with fear, and some with curiousity and amusement. What is there
00500 to hope for or fear or be curious about?
00600
00700 We can hope for a car that will drive itself to whatever
00800 destination is keyed into its control unit. Such a car could be used
00900 by children, old people, and the handicapped. It could
01000 go by itself for servicing or to the store to pick up something that
01100 had been ordered by telephone. Naturally, it must drive more safely
01200 than the best human drivers. We can also hope that it will be able
01300 to drive safely faster and closer to other cars than can human drivers,
01400 because it will react faster, will not suffer lapses of inattention,
01500 and will co-ordinate its movements with those of the other cars in
01600 its vicinity. Of course, robotics has many other possibilities besides
01700 automated cars, but we will use it as an example for now.
01800
01900 Artificial intelligence arouses a number of fears, but most of
02000 them center on the idea that intelligent machines might prove
02100 uncontrollable or than man might suffer irrepairable damage to his
02200 pride and self respect. The automated cars might crash when some
02300 central computer broke down or they might take you somewhere you
02400 didn't want to go. Evil people might use intelligent machines to
02500 conquer the world or the machines themselves might develop a desire
02600 to conquer the world. Even if nothing directly bad happened, people
02700 might have no motivation to do anything once they knew that there were
02800 machines smarter than they.
02900
03000 We will return to the hopes and fears later in the article,
03100 when there is more information on which to base a discussion.
03200 The curious have lots of questions:
03300
03400 1. How intelligent are the smartest present machines, and
03500 what can they do? How do they work?
03600
03700 2. Is it possible for machines to be as intelligent or more
03800 intelligent than people, and when might this come about, if at
03900 all?
04000 3. What has been discovered about how to make machines
04100 behave intelligently?
04200
04300 4. What kind of personalities might intelligent machines
04400 have?
04500
04600 The idea of intelligent machines originated in three stages:
04700 The first stage is to make an artificial intelligent machine by
04800 magic. There is a Jewish legend of the Rabbi of Prague creating
04900 a monster called the \F1Golem\F0 in the 16th century. In the
05000 early 19th century, Mary Wollstonecraft wrote about the creation
05100 of Frankenstein's monster by science, but the science was just
05200 a fictional device playing the same role as magic since how
05300 the alleged science was supposed to work wasn't stated. The idea
05400 of a robot as a metal man built up from parts became common in
05500 the 1920s. However, serious efforts to understand what would
05600 be required to make intelligent machines began only after the
05700 design of the first universal computers in the late
05800 1940s, almost all work since then has been based on them.
05900
06000 Artificial intelligence is based on universal computers
06100 for two reasons. First, a universal computer can carry out any
06200 computational procedure written in the language of the machine
06300 and put into the machine's memory. Moreover, all universal
06400 computers are equivalent in that any procedure written for
06500 one machine can be translated to run on any other universal
06600 machine. (Of course, one machine may be faster than another
06700 or may have a larger memory or may have input and output equipment
06800 that the other machine doesn't have). As a consequence of this,
06900 it doesn't matter whether the machine is made of integrated circuits
07000 or transistors or vacuum tubes or even protplasm; the possible
07100 procedures are the same. Therefore, when we think about
07200 artificial intelligence, we think about the procedures we want
07300 the machine to carry out and not about the construction of the
07400 machine itself. So far as I know, this simple point was not
07500 made before universal computers existed.
07600
07700 The first important scientific paper about artificial
07800 intelligence was Allan Turing's \F1Computing Machinery and
07900 Intelligence\F0 published in 1950.